One point that I think is important make. There’s nothing magic about ten when it comes to Covid-19. The point of the limit gatherings to ten or fewer was to reduce transmission, not stop it. To stop the spread the safe number is one.
As I intimated in my previous post, this is a numbers game. The more human to human contacts that occur the greater the transmission. It bugs me that officials don’t make this clear. Is ten better than eleven? Well, yes, but five is better still. Why didn’t they pick that number? And yes, ten was picked, basically out of thin air.
Total human to human contact is the only number that matters. We know we can’t keep it to zero, but we have to keep it low. Really low. This is a perfect example of how exponents work in real life.
The virus doesn’t care about our numbers. It will behave as we allow it. The only effective tool we have is isolation. If we practice self isolation the government won’t have to be as heavy handed. And we don’t want to give them the practice.
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